After the Front Man
The System Trump Revealed by Dying
Companies that spent money at Trump properties got EPA permit applications approved at three times the rate of companies that didn’t. The correlation held across regions, types of permits, industries. When ProPublica ran the analysis, controlling for every variable they could identify, the probability of this being coincidence was less than 0.001%.
This is the story of what happened after the front man died.
Trump died on December 8, three weeks before Christmas. The news broke during evening programming. Within three hours, coverage had settled into rhythm: the same footage, the same talking heads, the same speculation. No one yet understood what his death would reveal.
What became clear immediately: the center had been performance. Trump had been a front man,all bluster and ratings,whose singular talent was holding attention while other hands moved through the machinery of government. He had been useful precisely because he was impossible to look away from, because his vulgarity was so complete it became camouflage. While everyone watched Trump tweet and rage and lie, while they catalogued his stupidity and marveled at his shamelessness, the looting happened quietly, systematically, legally.
Trump had understood something essential: that in America, you could steal everything if you were loud enough about it. The con wasn’t that he pretended to be something he wasn’t. The con was that he told everyone exactly what he was,a grifter, a fraud, a man who viewed every interaction as a transaction and every transaction as a chance to cheat,and enough people decided that his honesty about his dishonesty was refreshing. He bankrupted casinos. He stiffed contractors. He ran a fake university. He bragged about sexual assault. None of it was hidden. All of it was public. And still, people made him president, because he told them he would hurt the people they wanted hurt.
Now the front man was dead. What remained was not a movement but a scramble among people who had spent years using Trump as cover for their actual work: the wealth extraction, the regulatory capture, the systematic conversion of public resources into private profit. Trump had been the perfect front man because he was too stupid to understand the sophistication of what was happening behind him and too narcissistic to care. He wanted the crowds and the ratings and the attention. The people using him wanted the permits and the contracts and the judges. It was a perfect symbiosis of different kinds of greed.
By spring, the country would understand what had been built during those years. Not a government, exactly. A system for converting public authority into private gain, operating in plain sight, legal enough to avoid prosecution, corrupt enough to hollow out everything it touched. Trump hadn’t built it,he was too lazy and undisciplined for that. But he had turbocharged it, had shown the people who actually knew what they were doing that you could loot the country in broad daylight if you just kept everyone distracted enough.
The Scramble
Vance was sworn in on December 9, less than twelve hours after Trump’s death. The ceremony was brief, private, constitutionally required. By Monday morning, requests were already piling up in the counsel’s office: Which informal arrangements still held? Which promises were binding?
The requests came from law firms representing companies that had paid Trump properties millions over years. Trump had been too greedy and too stupid to even pretend it wasn’t pay-to-play. Previous administrations had been subtler,campaign contributions, speaking fees after leaving office, jobs for family members at appropriate intervals. Trump just put his name on hotels and said: pay me. The law firms were polite, carefully worded. No one said “we paid for access and we expect access.” No one had to. The amounts were public record. Mar-a-Lago memberships at $250,000. Hotel rooms at the Trump Hotel in DC,sometimes thirty at once,at rates that made no commercial sense. Trump had been so brazen about the grift that it became almost abstract, numbers too large and shameless to process as actual theft.
The Treasury Department had documented it all. Inspector General reports showed the pattern: companies with business before federal agencies spending money at Trump properties, followed by favorable regulatory decisions. Twenty-three EPA permits. Fourteen defense contracts. Nine pharmaceutical approvals. The correlation was perfect. The causation was unprovable.
Unprovable because no one had written anything down. The system was more elegant than that. You showed loyalty through spending. The spending got noticed. The decisions followed. Everyone understood how it worked. No one could prove it.
This was the genius: corruption too obvious to be deniable, too diffuse to be prosecutable. Trump had always operated this way,like the mob lawyer’s son who learned that if you do crime loudly enough, with enough lawyers and enough shamelessness, you can get away with anything. He’d spent his whole life not paying people, not paying taxes, not following rules, and facing no consequences. The presidency was just the same con at a larger scale.
Elon Musk understood immediately that the ground had shifted. For two years, he had been running something Trump called the “Government Efficiency Project”,not an official agency, just a working group in Arlington reviewing federal contracts with no clear legal authority.
The reviews had gone well for Musk’s companies. SpaceX had secured four new NASA contracts worth $11 billion. Tesla had received environmental exemptions for its Texas factory. The project had existed because Trump said it existed. Trump’s word had been authority enough.
Now Vance’s chief of staff was asking for documentation of the project’s legal basis. There was no documentation.
Musk responded the way he always responded: by posting on X. “The deep state doesn’t want efficiency. They want waste because waste means jobs for bureaucrats.” The post got nineteen million impressions. Within hours, his followers were explaining that government efficiency required $11 billion in SpaceX contracts. The logic was circular. The logic was also winning.
Musk flew to Mar-a-Lago twice in one week, meeting with Don Jr., with Eric, with people who claimed to speak for the family. He needed someone to say that Trump’s arrangements would hold. No one could because no one knew.
The uncertainty was spreading. Defense contractors with no-bid contracts. Tech companies whose antitrust cases had stalled. Pharmaceutical companies whose drug approvals had accelerated. They had all paid, legally or adjacently legally, and they all wanted to know if the investment still held value.
No one could tell them. The only person who had known was dead.
The Factions
Peter Thiel was having different conversations,quieter conversations in private dining rooms and on encrypted calls. Thiel had funded Vance’s Senate campaign: $15 million through a Super PAC, more through vehicles that didn’t require disclosure.
What Thiel wanted was structural. He wanted the FTC to stop blocking tech mergers. He wanted the SEC to ease cryptocurrency regulation. He wanted antitrust enforcement to return to what he considered rational policy, which meant no enforcement at all.
Under Trump, Thiel had been making progress. Now Vance was president and Thiel was ensuring continuity. The conversations were about philosophy, about the proper role of government, about efficiency and innovation. The philosophy happened to align perfectly with Thiel’s financial interests. This was not mentioned.
Vance understood. He had worked in venture capital before politics. He understood that ideology was downstream of interest. He owed Thiel everything,the Senate seat, the vice presidency, now the presidency itself. The debt was not financial. It was deeper than financial.
By February 14, three new FTC commissioners had been named. All three had previously worked for tech companies. All three had written papers arguing that antitrust law was outdated, that the market should regulate itself. The papers were published by think tanks funded by tech billionaires. No one found this unusual anymore.
By April, Musk and Thiel were competing openly. The competition came to a head over cryptocurrency regulation. Musk wanted his own digital currency for X, wanted spectacle and headlines. Thiel wanted the entire cryptocurrency sector deregulated quietly, wanted structural change without attention.
Vance chose both,approved Musk’s currency while gutting the SEC’s crypto enforcement division. This was the system’s elegance: it was not zero-sum. There was enough government largesse, enough regulatory forbearance, enough captured authority to satisfy multiple billionaires simultaneously.
The rest of the country was not winning.
The Investigation
On March 12, ProPublica published an investigation into EPA decisions during the Trump years: eighteen months of reporting, hundreds of documents, testimony from career employees who had watched the process unfold.
The findings were stark. Companies that spent money at Trump properties got their permit applications approved at three times the rate of companies that didn’t. The correlation held across regions, types of permits, industries. The probability of this being coincidence was less than 0.001%.
The story detailed specific cases. A mining company that spent $900,000 at Trump hotels got approval to discharge waste into a river EPA scientists said should be protected. A poultry processing plant in Arkansas spent $400,000 at Trump properties. Their permit was approved over scientists’ objections. Within a year, the downstream town’s water tested positive for E. coli. The town had to truck in drinking water. The company’s quarterly earnings were up 12%.
A career EPA employee named Maria Rodriguez told ProPublica: “We knew what was happening. We just couldn’t prove intent. They never said ‘because they spent money at the hotel.’ They just said ‘upon further review.’ Every single time.”
The story was devastating. It was shared widely. It won the Pulitzer Prize three months later. It changed nothing.
No one would be prosecuted. The permits had been legally granted. The spending had been legal. That one had caused the other could not be proven to a criminal standard. The system had been designed precisely for this: to allow corruption too obvious to deny and too diffuse to punish.
The Democrats held hearings. Maria Rodriguez testified. The testimony was damning. It was also irrelevant. The Republicans said this was political theater. The hearings were covered by MSNBC and CNN. They were not covered by Fox, except to mock them. The country watched the hearings it wanted to watch, believed what it wanted to believe.
Meanwhile, the policies continued. Vance was approving judges at the same rate Trump had. Young judges, conservative judges, judges who believed the administrative state was unconstitutional, that environmental regulations were government overreach, that corporate power should be unlimited.
This was the trap: you could expose the corruption or you could stop the policies, but you couldn’t do both. And exposing the corruption without stopping it just normalized it.
The Base
Marjorie Taylor Greene understood that Trump’s death had created a vacuum. At a rally in Cobb County on February 8, she told the crowd that Trump’s death was “suspicious.” She didn’t say he was murdered,she was careful about that. She said there were “questions that needed answers.” She said the timing was “convenient for some people.”
The crowd knew what she meant. By the next day, the theory was spreading. Trump had been murdered. Probably by the deep state.
There was no evidence for any of this. The medical examiner’s report was public. But evidence was beside the point. The people who believed didn’t need evidence. They needed a story that explained why everything felt wrong, why the world seemed rigged against them.
In Dalton, Georgia, a man named Robert spent six hours a day on Telegram. Robert was seventy-two. He had voted Republican his whole life. Then he had found Q in 2018. Now he believed Trump had been murdered. His daughter had stopped talking to him. His son said he was in a cult. Robert said his children had been brainwashed.
Robert wasn’t crazy. He was lonely and angry and looking for explanation. The explanation he had found made sense of everything,why his pension wasn’t enough, why his grandchildren couldn’t afford houses. It wasn’t capitalism or corruption or systematic extraction of wealth. It was a cabal.
The conspiracy theory was wrong but it was emotionally true. Something was deeply wrong with the country. Someone was benefiting while most people struggled. The conspiracy theory took these true observations and built a false structure around them, turned systemic corruption into individual evil, turned political economy into spiritual warfare.
This was the epistemological collapse that had been building for years. Not just disagreement about policy but disagreement about reality itself. One group seeing corruption enabled by lax regulation and corporate capture. Another group seeing a satanic conspiracy. Both groups angry. Both groups certain they were right. No common ground between them.
The Ground
In Phoenix, Arizona, a nurse named Carmen was working a double shift when Trump died. She felt nothing, then felt guilty about feeling nothing, then decided feeling nothing was appropriate.
Carmen’s hospital was understaffed. It had been understaffed for years. The hospital chain that owned it was profitable,very profitable. But the profits went to shareholders, not to hiring. Carmen was doing the work of two nurses, sometimes three.
There was a patient Carmen thought about often. Elena Ruiz. She was sixty-seven. She had come to the ER with chest pain. The ER was overwhelmed. Elena waited four hours. By the time Carmen got to her, she was coding. They couldn’t save her. The hospital had money for expansion, money for a new parking structure. The hospital didn’t have money for enough nurses to keep Elena Ruiz from dying in a waiting room chair.
On February 15, a patient mentioned he ran a property that had been part of the Trump chain. “Quarter million for a weekend stay,” he said. “And they always had meetings scheduled with people from DC right after. We joked that we should charge more.”
Carmen thought about Elena Ruiz. She thought about the ProPublica story. She said nothing. She checked his vitals and moved on.
Carmen had voted against Trump both times with a sense of urgency that felt existential. Now Trump was dead and she was still working doubles, still watching patients suffer from lack of care, still wondering when voting would matter.
Her sister called from Tucson. Her sister cleaned houses for wealthy people. One of her clients had been crying about Trump’s death, genuinely crying. The client lived in a house with six bedrooms and three people. The client paid Carmen’s sister $15 an hour and no benefits. The client believed she was being generous.
“What do we do?” her sister asked.
Carmen did not have an answer.
In Youngstown, Ohio, a steelworker named Mike had voted for Trump twice. He had believed the promises about bringing back manufacturing. The plant where he worked had closed anyway in September. The closure had nothing to do with immigration or trade deals. It had to do with automation and private equity and a calculation that the plant’s land was worth more than its operation.
When Trump died, Mike posted on Facebook: “RIP to a real one.” Then he went to work at the Amazon warehouse forty minutes away. The warehouse paid less than the plant had. The warehouse had no union. The warehouse tracked his bathroom breaks. The scanner made a particular beeping sound,high-pitched, insistent,that followed him into his dreams.
Mike did not know about the EPA permits or the hotel spending or the systematic conversion of public authority into private gain. He knew his rent had gone up. He knew his health insurance covered less. He knew something was wrong but the explanations all seemed to point in different directions,immigrants, China, coastal elites, the deep state.
Trump had offered a simple explanation: they took your country, and we’re taking it back. Now Trump was dead and the explanation was dead with him and Mike was still at the Amazon warehouse, still scanning packages, still trying to hit his rate so he wouldn’t get fired.
In rural Georgia, a farmer named James was losing his land. The land had been in his family for four generations. The market for soybeans had collapsed during the trade war. Trump had promised the trade war would help farmers. It had not helped farmers. It had helped large agricultural corporations that could absorb the losses and buy up smaller farms.
The bank was foreclosing in sixty days. James was sixty-three years old. He could not afford to retire. He could not afford to start over.
There was a particular acre on the property, southeast corner, where his grandfather had planted the first crop in 1947. James had helped plant there as a boy. The soil was dark and rich. In the spring, it smelled like rain even when it hadn’t rained. James walked out to that acre sometimes, tried to memorize what it looked like. Soon someone else would own it. Soon it would be something else,a subdivision, probably. The soil didn’t matter anymore.
His son had moved to Atlanta, was working in IT. His son made more money than James ever had. His son’s student loans were more than the farm was worth. His son said farming was over, that you couldn’t make a living farming anymore unless you were a corporation.
James knew his son was right. James hated that his son was right.
He had watched the hearings. He had seen the testimony about the EPA permits and the hotel spending. He had not understood all of it but he had understood enough: people with money had bought access, had gotten what they wanted, while people like him had gotten promises.
“They’re all corrupt,” he told his wife. “All of them.”
In Detroit, a teacher named Lisa was buying groceries when she heard about Trump’s death. She was using the calculator on her phone, adding up items before she got to the register, making sure she didn’t go over budget. Teaching paid less than people thought.
Her students came to school hungry. Her students came to school with trauma. The school board kept talking about budget constraints. The auto executives who sat on the school board had gotten bonuses during the pandemic.
There was one student Lisa thought about often. Destiny. She was eight years old. She was brilliant,the kind of brilliant that should mean scholarships and opportunities and a future. But Destiny lived in a house with seven people and no internet. She did her homework in the McDonald’s parking lot using their wifi. Lisa had tried to get the school to provide hotspots. The school said there was no budget. The same school had just spent $80,000 renovating the administrative offices.
Lisa went to protests sometimes. The marches felt important while you were there,the solidarity, the visibility. Then you went home and the policies didn’t change and eventually you wondered if marching was just something you did to feel better while nothing actually changed.
On March 13, Lisa read the ProPublica story during her lunch break. She read about the permits and the hotels and the correlation that was statistically impossible to be coincidence. She read about the town in Arkansas that had to truck in drinking water because a company had paid money at a hotel and gotten a permit. She thought about Destiny doing homework in a McDonald’s parking lot.
At a school board meeting in April, Lisa raised her hand during public comment. She talked about Destiny. She talked about the budget. One of the board members,a vice president at GM,listened politely, then explained that the budget was complicated, that there were competing priorities.
Lisa walked to her car after the meeting and sat in the parking lot for ten minutes. She had said what needed to be said. It would change nothing. She would do it again next month. It would change nothing then too. But she would keep doing it because stopping meant accepting that this was okay, and she could not accept that this was okay.
What Remains
What Trump’s death revealed was not new corruption but old corruption in new form. The pay-to-play schemes, the regulatory capture, the conversion of public office into private profit,these were not innovations. They were traditions, temporarily embarrassed by their association with someone too vulgar to maintain plausible deniability.
Trump had been the perfect vehicle for this corruption precisely because he was so obviously corrupt himself. His entire life had been a string of cons,Trump University, Trump Steaks, Trump Vodka, businesses that existed only to extract money from people stupid or desperate enough to believe the name meant something. He’d been sued thousands of times. He’d bragged about bribing officials. He’d said on television that not paying taxes made him smart. The corruption wasn’t a secret. It was the brand.
And that was why he’d been useful. Because when someone that openly corrupt becomes president, it doesn’t expose the system’s corruption,it normalizes it. When Trump took money at Mar-a-Lago for access, it made every other lobbyist payment seem reasonable by comparison. When Trump appointed his daughter and son-in-law to government positions, it made every other act of nepotism look quaint. He lowered the bar so far that everything behind him could slip through unnoticed.
Trump had been useful as a lightning rod, drawing attention while the sophisticated operators worked in his shadow. Now he was gone and the shadow remained, and the operators were learning they didn’t need the lightning after all. They just needed the permission structure Trump had built: the acceptance that of course politicians are corrupt, of course the system is rigged, of course nothing will ever change. Trump’s greatest con wasn’t that he drained the swamp. It was that he made people accept that the swamp was permanent.
Everyone already knows it’s corrupt. What they don’t know is that the corruption is the designed outcome, not a glitch. And the people who designed it are still there, still working, and now they know they don’t even need a Trump. They just need everyone to accept that this is how things work.
That’s the brutal truth: We all decided it was normal.
By spring, the Democratic Party had moved on. They were focused on the midterms, on Vance’s approval ratings, on winning back suburban voters. The ProPublica story was “old news.” The hearings were “preaching to the choir.” They had learned the wrong lesson from Trump: not that the corruption needed to be prosecuted, but that talking about corruption didn’t win elections. So they stopped talking about it. And the system they could have dismantled while everyone was paying attention just... continued. The permits kept getting approved. The judges kept getting confirmed. The money kept moving. Because that’s what money does when no one stops it.
What the common people would do, it turned out, was what they always did: continue. They would go to work. They would pay their bills or not pay their bills. They would watch their children inherit a world worse than the one they had inherited. They would vote or not vote. They would believe or not believe that any of it mattered.
Some would radicalize. They would organize in their communities. They would start mutual aid networks. They would occupy buildings and block pipelines and put their bodies between the machine and its victims. The media would call them extremists. Some would win small victories. Most would lose.
Some would give up,would stop voting, stop believing, stop paying attention. They would say both parties were the same, that the system was rigged. They would be wrong about this and also not entirely wrong. They would retreat into private life, into the small sphere where they still had some control.
Most would muddle through. They would complain and compromise and adapt. They would develop the thick skin you needed to survive in a country that had given up on you. They would tell themselves things could be worse. Things could always be worse.
What they would not do,what they had never done, really,was organize into the kind of broad-based movement that could challenge the fundamental arrangement. They were too divided. Too tired. Too busy surviving. Carmen and Mike and James and Lisa had common interests but they had been taught to see each other as enemies. The nurse’s immigration status was why the steelworker didn’t have a job. The teacher’s union was why the farmer’s taxes were high. The divisions were lies but the lies were effective.
Trump had understood this, had built his movement on these divisions. Now Trump was dead but the divisions remained. Someone else would come along to exploit them. There was always someone else.
What was clear by spring was that Trump’s death had revealed something, not changed something. The corruption had never been about Trump personally. Trump had been too chaotic, too undisciplined, too prone to saying the quiet part loud. But the corruption itself was structural. It was legal. It was how the system worked when no one was stopping it.
Money bought access. Access shaped policy. Policy generated more money. The circle was closed, perfect, sustainable. Everyone involved called it capitalism. Critics called it corruption. The disagreement was semantic. The practice was universal.
Carmen and Mike and James and Lisa kept working, kept muddling through, kept surviving in a country that had stopped pretending to work for them. They had not organized into the movement that could change the system. They had not stopped the machine. But they had not stopped themselves either.
Carmen kept showing up for double shifts, kept fighting for her patients even when the hospital wouldn’t. Mike kept hitting his rate at the warehouse, kept looking for better work even though he knew there wasn’t any. James kept working the land until the bank took it. Lisa kept raising her hand at school board meetings, kept fighting for Destiny and the hundred other Destinies who needed someone to fight.
They continued. And somewhere in that continuation,in the nurse finishing her shift, in the teacher grading papers past midnight, in the farmer walking his grandfather’s acre one last time, in the worker’s hand cramping around the scanner,there was something the machine could not account for.
Not hope. Not yet. But the thing that precedes hope: the stubborn refusal to let the unacceptable become permanent. The system was designed to make them give up. They had not given up. That was not nothing. It was not enough. But it was not nothing.
The cherry blossoms that spring were extraordinary. They bloomed late, as they had been blooming late for several years, the warming climate shifting seasons in ways that felt wrong even when they looked beautiful. The blossoms lasted two weeks, then fell, and the trees looked bare again.
And the city continued, and the government continued, and the slow work of converting public power into private wealth continued, as it had always continued, as it would always continue, until something made it stop.
What that something might be, no one could say. But Carmen and Mike and James and Lisa kept working, and in their work there remained the possibility,distant, unlikely, but undeniable,that persistence itself might one day become the thing that made it stop.
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Tom, my opinion is, this is your best writing to date. The vicious cycle you have described, and personalized is to be commended.
Why? Because it is all so, so true. Your fictional documentation of the future, to me. is dead on balls accurate !
Writer’s such as yourself, should be paid. I see movie screenplays in your future. At minimum, Netflix should be picking up on this one today!
I shall share your article with as many as I can.
Before I close,
What a nice surprise it was to see that you chose Trump’s future demise on the day, and month of my birth, 73 years prior. So, I’d like to thank you in advance for this early though completely unintentional personal birthday gift to me!
Don’t ever stop writing, your too damn good to stop !
This is exactly what I have been talking about for a few years! The convergence of dark enlightenment and christofascism and freedom cities is the real deal! And to keep eyes on the broligarchs and what they paid for by investing in krasnov. Who is THE BIGGEST DISTRACTION EVER!! Great story Tom! 🔥🔥